It seems that the battle to break the bone between the two poles of the military component in the transitional government in Sudan is taking place between the parties and takes a dangerous dimension that approaches the stage of no return whenever the Commander-in-Chief of the Army Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan and the Commander of the Rapid Support Forces, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (Hemedti) engage in maneuvering.
The meetings of the Central Council of the Coalition with the Chairman of the Sovereign Council, Lieutenant-General Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan and his deputy, Lieutenant-General Muhammad Hamdan Dagalo (Hemedti) about 10 days ago, were not just public relations meetings, but rather were an attempt to defuse a combustible crisis.
According to reliable sources in the coalition who spoke to Al Jazeera Net, the Central Council will hold an emergency meeting this evening, Saturday, to discuss information that talks about tension between the army and the Rapid Support Forces led by Hemedti, as well as discussing statements by the latter in which he shot everyone.
Denial in place of proof
Statements by the army and the Rapid Support Forces attempted to deny the existence of tension between them. Brigadier General Taher Abu Haja, media advisor to Al-Burhan and the spokesman for the Rapid Support Forces, Brigadier General Jamal Jumaa, denied in two separate statements the existence of military tension between the two parties.
A military source confirms to Al Jazeera Net – who asked not to be named – that the issue of tension between the army and the rapid support is apparent and undeniable, and the data reflects the reality of this tension, even if it is not confirmed.
A talk by Hemedti during the eulogy of one of the military leaders of the Sudan Liberation Movement led by Mini Arko Minawi demonstrated the extent of the injustice and pressures that the man experiences – according to the source – to the point of practicing sympathy by saying that he is subjected to organized campaigns from parties – he did not name – because of his sitting on the seat of the first deputy of the Sovereignty Council.
Hemedti said that he was the only person in the security committee who refused to break up the sit-in before deposing President Omar al-Bashir, and indicated that “they” reduced his role to being a fighter in the open to fight the leaders of the rebellion, but he will not be deceived in the future.
He explained that the change in Sudan so far has not been completed, describing what happened as only the arrest of Al-Bashir and his imprisonment on April 11, 2019.
The military source says that to understand the relationship between the army and the Rapid Support Forces, two questions must be answered: What is the main cause of the conflict? And what stage can it reach?
He explains that the conflict has more than one cause, but in its origin it is a personal influence struggle between Al-Burhan and Hemedti rather than a conflict between the army and the rapid support, as each of them wants to impose their control over the country and reduce the influence of the other, adding that the conflict has a relationship with the political movement, and both Al-Burhan and Hemedti have Allies speak to them.
In an attempt to understand the relationship of the military with the political forces, Muhammad Al-Hadi, a member of the Central Council and the Secretary-General of the United National Federal Party, says that the meeting of the Central Council with Burhan and Hemedti was not planned to be with each of them separately.
According to Al-Hadi, parties within the council caused the meetings to take place in this way, despite there being a prior agreement that there would be one meeting that would include everyone, but there is a part in the ruling coalition that is too much printed with the military.
In an interview with Al-Jazeera Net, he acknowledges the existence of sensitivity between the army and the rapid support, which was evidenced by the establishment of new barriers that the army has surrounded the General Command since last Thursday, as well as Hemedti’s speech in which he seemed shaky.
Returning to the military source, he says that an armed conflict is not expected between the army and the Rapid Support Forces , but if it does occur, its consequences will be catastrophic.
He explained that the army would not be able to resolve Hemedti’s forces quickly in the event of a confrontation, because it weaved alliances with the armed movements, and began sending signals to reproduce the historical conflict between Awlad al-Bahr and the West, explaining that the issue of militarily eliminating a party has become a thing of the past, because war can determine Its beginning, but you will not be able to determine when it will end.
The same source confirms that Hemedti is now under pressure, and the other parties should not exert more pressure than necessary, pointing to some of the recent bickering regarding guard convoys and visits.
a case of getting lost
The source indicates that the two sides are applying pressure to the maximum stage to achieve the greatest amount of gains, and says that “the issue of clash is excluded, but it is possible if one of the parties pressures the other more and more than necessary.”
He adds that Hemedti is living in a state of unfairness due to the UAE’s diminishing interest in him in favor of Al-Burhan, whose influence began to expand, and he recalls the way Hemedti used to speak when his forces were in the heart of Khartoum, and that it has now changed with yesterday’s speech filled with sympathy.
He stated that Abu Dhabi has its reading, just as it abandoned the former director of the intelligence service, Salah Gosh, who was its first man, and is now in the process of abandoning Hemeti.
He points out that Hemedti is now looking for relations with Qatar and Turkey away from the Emirates, as he has begun flirting with Islamists, and he expected his recent visits to be a bait for separating his relationship with Abu Dhabi, which still controls his gold-generated wealth.